Overrated Experience Sports & Sports Betting Podcast

S4E30 - NFL Bets: Championship Sunday

Sports Betting Season 4 Episode 30

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We are down to 3 NFL games left in the season and by the end of the day we will find out who will be playing in the Super Bowl

Austin from Ajax love the Seahawks and believes in his boy, Sammy Darnold... I don't know about that.

We analyze the spreads , Over/Unders & Player Props

Don't miss it! 

Listen while you shovel

00:00 Introduction to Championship Sunday
04:44 Weather and Sports Betting Vibes
05:48 Excitement Levels for Championship Games
10:18 Caleb Williams and the Bears' Performance
14:02 Josh Allen's Missed Opportunities
15:51 Coaching Changes in Buffalo
20:46 Coaching Hires in the AFC North
23:43 Mitch Marner's Return to Toronto
27:38 UFC 324 Recap and Rampage Jackson
30:23 NFL Championship Game Previews
33:39 Game Predictions and Betting Insights
41:19 Super Bowl Matchup Predictions
53:56 Looking Ahead: Offseason and Future Sports Betting

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Kyle Blondin (00:01)
Welcome to the Overrated Experience Sports and Sports betting podcast. I'm your host, Kyle Blunt, and once again, joined by...

Austin From... You Know Where (00:08)
Awesome from Ajax, baby, but you already knew that.

Kyle Blondin (00:10)
He already knew that and we're here to talk NFL Championship Sunday. We're down to two football games, three games in total left in the NFL season. We got two of them today. We're to go through the lines, the over-unders and some props and we're going to discuss some long shots and see where it takes us in this world of sports betting. We got a concrete fact that Oscar made fact that he asked from Ajax has his back pocket. Always a solid segment.

that we bring up ⁓ each and each every week. And we got a few other stories to talk about in the world of sports, not just including football. If you've joined the Overrated Experience sports and sports betting podcast before, ⁓ fantastic. Welcome back. This is a new download for you. This podcast is intended to talk sports betting across the board in sports. Yes, we're focusing on the NFL because NFL is king.

We also take time to talk about other stories in sports and get opinions and yeah, it's just a free for all kind of information session here at the Overrated Experience. You can follow the Overrated Experience on Overrated EXPER2. That's Overrated EXPER2 and of course that's on X. If you look for Overrated Experience on YouTube, you'll pick up the visual.

a video version of this podcast that you can watch and look at our beautiful faces. ⁓ Or if you don't like what you see, can obviously stick with the pod. You can find on any of your Apple podcasts or Spotify, et cetera, et cetera. Well, it's a snowy, ridiculous day in the GTA. And for those outside of Toronto, that's the Greater Toronto Area. Austin from Ajax is from outside of the Toronto Area.

What is the snow looking like in your end of the woods?

Austin From... You Know Where (02:02)
We got about, I want to say eight or nine inches of snow right now. ⁓ you know, I think we're supposed to get up to like a foot or 13 inches, something like that, but it's pretty bad.

Kyle Blondin (02:13)
Yeah, I would say pretty bad. It's a nice way of putting it. It's getting ugly. ⁓ I'm sick of this. I'm disgusted by the amount of snow we've been getting. It's not even the end of January yet, so we got a month and a bit to go, if not more until March, I guess, the potentially getting this snow. But I got a few years on you, and I just can't recall last winter where we've had this amount of snowfall in such a short period of time.

This is unprecedented to me and maybe in my older age, I'm getting sick of it and I can understand why somebody would be a snowbird. I want to get the hell out of here and down to Florida. ⁓ Do you recall it being this bad in the last few years in a winter?

Austin From... You Know Where (02:58)
No, no, not

at all. feel like, but I, to be fair, I feel like we've had some pretty weak winters and now this kind of feels like it's kind of back to normal. I don't know. Definitely the most shoveling. Definitely, definitely the most shoveling in like three or four years.

Kyle Blondin (03:07)
Global warming's not paying off here, man. It's not paying off.

Like I now because you've shoveled so much you're regretting or dreading to get out there and do it and your back is gonna like just even trying to if you have to leave your driveway and travel anywhere it's insane man like and like God it's terrible but ⁓

Austin From... You Know Where (03:29)
Definitely, definitely

not in the morning, but on a weekend, you know, the odd time I could actually enjoy shoveling, would say, believe it or not, I could enjoy shoveling the rare time. ⁓ like in this situation, Sunday, you know, maybe you go shovel, you come inside afterwards, have a hot chocolate. You know, it's not the end of the world, but like, no, no, Hey, if you got to wake up early and do it and you got to bundle up, you know, you're going to work. Fuck that screw that. But you know, Sunday it's like, you know, I'm probably going to go out and shovel again.

Kyle Blondin (03:46)
God, man, you're like got the rosy picture.

out.

Austin From... You Know Where (03:58)
after this ⁓ podcast and you know that's not the worst thing.

Kyle Blondin (04:02)
So would you recommend to our viewers out there that you download the overrated experience, the latest episode, put the AirPods in your ear and shovel away while enjoying some great insight on some sports? Would you recommend that?

Austin From... You Know Where (04:14)
I think that's a great idea. Just make sure to turn that kettle on for when you're done.

Kyle Blondin (04:17)
Okay, so that's it. We got the latest weather report here in the Toronto area and I know that we have a lot of listeners across the world that tune in, may not even experience snow. So I want to be where you are. Okay, I I want to be where you are. So thanks again for your continuous effort to download the Overrated Experience and here we go again. It's championship Sunday. ⁓

Austin From... You Know Where (04:22)
Yeah

Kyle Blondin (04:44)
We're gonna get into it. got a few other stories I want to talk about first, but let's get your rating out of 10 here of excitement. Based on the matchups and the storylines coming in these games, where would you rate your excitement for these championship games today?

Austin From... You Know Where (04:59)
You know, I'll go, this rating scale will kind of be based on the last, this, this will be based on like every semi-finals for the last 10 years. I'd say like a 7.5, you know, the, yeah, the, NFC game, the, the game at six 30 tonight, uh, Eastern time is, you know, that still is a top tier, like who the hell is going to win? We don't know what's going to happen clearly to the best teams in football. And you know, I really do think this easily would have been an eight if it wasn't for Bo Nicks going down.

Kyle Blondin (05:09)
Yeah.

Yeah, I'm to give it six and a half. ⁓ the Bo Nix thing sucks. mean, yeah, you don't want this to be a blowout. You don't want Denver to roll over and not compete against the Patriots. However, I don't want to see a, ⁓ a stidham quarterback matchup in Superbowl. I don't, right? I'd rather see Drake, the story of the Patriots, Vrabel and Maye, Diggs, ⁓ you know, all those guys heading to the Superbowl. I think that has to happen.

Austin From... You Know Where (05:48)
Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (05:58)
for it to be interesting and on the other side I think it is a heavyweight matchup. ⁓ Yeah, the Seahawks are playing like the best team in the NFL right now, but they're not the sexiest team in the NFL, in my opinion, right? Although they dominated and crushed the 49ers, this would be more of an intriguing matchup if it was Niners Rams, in my opinion. Even though the Seattle Seahawks crushed the Niners, deserved to be here,

I just feel that it would have been more exciting if the 49ers were playing in this game versus the Seahawks, even though they deserve it. So that's where my six and a half rating comes from. Hopefully, you know, the craziness that we've seen the last couple of weeks, like that, like I know we had the podcast last week and we didn't get a chance to talk about your bears, but could you like, I was sitting here Sunday night watching that game.

I was one expecting a lot more points to be scored in that game than there was. But for Caleb Williams to roll back like that in that last play of the game, or not last, but like, you know, the clock winding down fourth down, he's backpedaling like 20 yards right away. You're thinking it's over, forget it. And he heaves that ball up to the end zone. And then the camera goes to the end zone and you see how wide open the bears receiver is in the end zone to catch that ball. And.

Austin From... You Know Where (07:03)
Mm-hmm.

⁓ yeah.

Kyle Blondin (07:24)
I wanted the Rams to win, okay? I wanted the Rams to win. However, when you have a play like that, legendary moment, you wanted to go finish it, right? Because that moment won't be as big because they lost. And he threw a pick on the drive that he could have led them down to victory. ⁓ What did you think of that throw, that play? And is it kind of depleted because it didn't follow through with a win?

Austin From... You Know Where (07:32)
Yeah.

man.

You know, I feel like this is kind of always kind of what happens with Caleb Williams. You know, he always has, if you're looking at on paper, he's always having that high offensive performance, but it's the last few minutes of the game where he's always falling short, that wide open pass at the end of the game, just some kind of choke job. You know what I mean? ⁓ but I try to give him credit just because like at the end of the day, you know, the points that he puts up throughout the game, ⁓ you know, should be enough to win that game. But, ⁓

Kyle Blondin (08:03)
So

Go.

Austin From... You Know Where (08:15)
You know, we obviously everyone's going to look in at those last two, three minutes, even though they are the most crucial. it's hard to, know, Caleb Williams is kind of one of the, almost one of the hardest quarterbacks to pinpoint in the NFL because it's always like at the end of the game, should they be in the situation where, you know, he's, he has to get this game winning drive. seems like he always has to go get this game winning drive. And you know, he may be, you know, is it fair of him to face his pressure every single game when he's putting up 30 points? You know what I mean?

Kyle Blondin (08:26)
Yeah.

you

Austin From... You Know Where (08:43)
So it's like, I, has my respect, but he's not, he's that nowhere close to elite, but I consider Caleb Williams, a good quarterback. And you know, it's a shame, but if you're a bears fan, you got to be excited. You know, a clear overachieve you lose by three points. You know, you can't, you can't be too upset. and I did have a question for you regarding the Denver game. Cause your rating is a 6.5, but I'm just curious if so obviously, you know, backup quarterback, like, this is a waste of game to watch.

Kyle Blondin (09:05)
Yes.

Austin From... You Know Where (09:11)
If the Denver Broncos go on to win the Superbowl, does that flip on a switch in the sense of this guy went against all odds and got the job done kind of like Nick Foles with the Eagles back against the Patriots with Tom Brady.

Kyle Blondin (09:23)
I know people are gonna compare the Nick Foles comparison story, but Nick Foles took over during the season and led the team to their run. this one feels, and it is, like he's gotten thrown in kind of like one step away from the Super Bowl. It'll still be a story, no question. If the narrative turns out to be that he is a Super Bowl champion and led the Broncos.

I think the narrative would also be that Sean Payton is just an amazing coach. Like an absolute legendary coach that will have something up his sleeve. We'll talk about the game. I just don't see it, but I'm, definitely changed my feel if it's concluded that he's holding up the Lombardi trophy because he came in, had a career two games and had a magic moment. won't disrespect that. And I would change my tune if that's.

Austin From... You Know Where (10:13)
Yeah. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (10:18)
that somehow it played out or if it played out that you know the bro I don't want to give too much way we're going to talk about that you know well let's talk about that game a little later because I think I have a theory and how the Broncos if they win how they're going to do it but I'm going to go back to one last game that hit hard to a lot of people we know and that was the bills going down to the Broncos and controversy to say the least in that game that Brandon Cook's

catch no catch interception. ⁓ Man, I've heard it argued both ways and the NFL has done this because of the complexity of what a goddamn catch is. ⁓ You know, he goes up in the air, makes the catch, hits the ground, rolls and then the defender grabs the ball from him, interception. The NFL argues that it's not a completed catch. ⁓ Thus,

Allowing the bronco defender to take possession You know, I heard Ben Rothenberger yesterday make comment on it. He had a good point in my opinion He makes the catch the question is did it look like a catch to me? Yeah Which soon as he hit the ground? Yeah, that is the play over he's touched. He's down. I Because we've seen that many times where You know guys taking 85 steps and I'm joking because it's supposed to be three steps and it's not a fumble You know, it's just very

how particular a play can be called one way and not the other when it's come to a body part being on the ground. So what do you think of that? was it a catch? Was it an interception? What was it?

Austin From... You Know Where (11:55)
The only, the only explanation I could have is that it was inconclusive and therefore the referees went with the call in the field. But personally, I clearly thought it was a catch. mean, I saw the knee on the ground. He had been touched. It's a dead ball. And then it seemed like he had, he had the ball ripped from him. You know, I'm not just saying this because we want to see H Dilla jump through a table. You know, I'm not just saying that because we want to see that. ⁓ I think, ⁓ it was clearly a catch and I, I really kind of do think it was bad roughing.

Kyle Blondin (11:57)
Hmm

Right. Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (12:23)
But I mean, if they would use that excuse, Hey, we thought it was inconclusive opposed to they actually thought it was ⁓ a, interception. that would be more understanding.

Kyle Blondin (12:32)
Yeah, and I honestly don't know what the Bills' strategy was in that play, or not the drive itself. I felt like instead of marching down the field, taking 10 yards here, 15 yards here, they kept going for the home run. I don't understand why. I believe at that point that they, all they had to do was get in field goal range to win that game because both teams have possession. So I don't understand it. A little perplexed, but I too think,

It looked more of a catch than it didn't. so the NFL, and there was a play in the Rams game where Devontae Adams, Devontae Adams made a catch in that late drive for the Rams. Same thing happened. He got smoked like after making the catch, but his knee was down or whatever it was, it was down and it was considered a catch. No fumble, right? And it just looked exactly like the same almost as if.

Austin From... You Know Where (13:27)
Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (13:30)
we watched in Denver for the Bills. I, man, sometimes I shake my head at the NFL and the complexity or their explanation. think they don't even have it down of exactly what's a catch, what's not a catch and what's not a scenario where it is. So I would like to see a Bills-Patriots matchup versus a Broncos without Bo Nicks. So that's where my six and a half comes in. And I guess when it comes to maybe wrapping up the teams that are not here, Josh Allen,

He had his opportunity right now his his window without Patty Mahomes or Lamar Jackson or Joe burrow and the AFC suddenly Windows closed another season gone Does this like what do you think of Josh Allen? Did he fail to get the job done here?

Austin From... You Know Where (14:21)
Uh, you know, I think he did fail to get the job done. Uh, they shouldn't have been in a position where the game was close. You know, the bills are a team that are supposed to just keep laying on the points. Uh, I think they fell short and you know what? know Josh Allen actually isn't facing a lot of criticism right now, but if I'm not mistaken, he had a, what, four turnovers in that game. Is that correct?

Kyle Blondin (14:31)
out.

I believe you're right, but that, if you recall that turnover, especially at end of the first half where he was holding the ball like a loaf of bread and gave up an inexcusable field goal that pushed the Broncos up 10 at that point.

Austin From... You Know Where (14:43)
Yeah.

Yeah, I was, yeah.

Yeah.

hard to watch. That's all I really have to say is, ⁓ you know, it seems kind of, I don't want to say it's Caleb Williams level, but it always seems the bills are kind of coming up short. ⁓ kind of like this every year, you know, Josh Allen, realistically though, I will say a Josh Allen and a quarterback of his caliber. There really should be no excuse even when a guy like my homes is playing or Joe burrows playing, because he's supposed to be better than the rest. You know, he's an MVP.

Kyle Blondin (15:08)
Yeah.

Yep, he's no excuse. could have had better, he got out of more dominant game and he's got to care. You know what? He's going to get the glory when things happen, but he's also going to get the finger pointed out and one of they don't and they didn't get it done. They should be in the CFC championship game today. They didn't, they failed and they can't hang their hat on one play that decided if they were going to march toward the Lombardi trophy or not. And you know, we'll also get into the coaching decisions. Sean McDermott out as Buffalo Bill's coach. A lot of backlash.

I don't get the mindset of a lot of people out there when they criticize, well it's not his fault. I mean his resume up till now did not warrant the firing. Well, it's not about that. Nobody can disagree that Sean McDermott did a fantastic job. He should be number one in a lot of people's list here to help rebuild or reshape a franchise, no question. But if you're the Buffalo Bills, what else are gonna do? You've already hit a wall.

your expectation is to be Super Bowl or bust and you didn't do it. There has to be a different philosophy change. Yes, it's a risk. Yes, you could go a step backwards, but you can't go a step forwards unless you make some changes. But, and I'll let you comment in a second, the only flag I had was if you noticed, Brandon Bean, their general manager stayed, they didn't let him go. And I guess when asked about player personnel decisions that

Terry Pagula, the owner, was kind of ripping in that it was the coaching staff that wanted Keon Coleman. Like, why would you even bring that up? what, they were kind of like pointing fingers. It was weird. And that's the first sign of a trash organization. So that ⁓ sounded like a Terry Pagula, I own the Buffalo Sabres, because they're a shit show. ⁓ That's creeping into the Bill side. That was awful. And...

Austin From... You Know Where (17:01)
Mm-hmm.

Kyle Blondin (17:14)
I mean this management team had every opportunity I can imagine to say that I got Josh Allen. Let me go get a waddle. Let me go get a stud receiver or two. Overpaid because our window is now.

Austin From... You Know Where (17:19)
Mm-hmm. Yeah.

Yeah. It's like the opposite of the Colts this season. ⁓ but I mean, do the, do the bills not feel to you and I don't know why they don't make it a priority, but do they not just feel like one wide receiver away? Every bill's fan, every bill's fan that I talked to, it's always one wide receiver away and it's hard to disagree, you know? And I have a couple. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (17:29)
Yeah.

They're gonna wait too late. They're gonna

wait too late to, you you have to go all in. Yeah, you made mortgage three years down the line, but you have Josh Allen. He is your key to a potential Super Bowl win. And you have to maximize the talent around him. It's kind of like the Green Bay Packers when they would not, you know, ⁓ surround Aaron Rodgers with more receiving talent.

Austin From... You Know Where (18:01)
Exactly.

Kyle Blondin (18:13)
when the opportunity existed. didn't make sense. ⁓ No. But that's the bills and Philip Rivers in contention for this head coaching job. Can you see that?

Austin From... You Know Where (18:16)
It doesn't make sense.

I could definitely see that. If you want to shake some things up, Philip Rivers, he's the man.

Kyle Blondin (18:32)
That guy might have a heart attack by mid-season. He's very emotional. ⁓ But he might be that rah-rah guy that you need to get the Bills to that next step. But that'd very interesting hire for them. And Josh McDaniels, former Miami Dolphins head coach, looks like he was in contention to potentially get an interview for this Bills head coaching job and then decided to turn it down because he looks like he's going to go to LA and be ⁓ potentially the Chargers offense coordinator.

Austin From... You Know Where (18:34)
Ha ha.

Kyle Blondin (19:01)
Josh McDaniels, why would the hell would anybody think that he would be the choice for Buffalo? Like, could you picture him as a Buffalo Bills head coach next year?

Austin From... You Know Where (19:10)
No, I just, I maybe they're looking

to just really shake something up. have no idea.

Kyle Blondin (19:16)
Why would you bring the guy in? guy's got a, he's an excellent offensive mind, no question. But, he couldn't get the job done as a head coach in Miami. Like he could not get them to really, they took steps backwards the last few years and you're gonna bring them into a potential Super Bowl, like you know, team, like the Bills? It's stupid.

Austin From... You Know Where (19:28)
Yeah.

But you know what?

I always went on about him, about how, you know, I thought he was a good coach, but he just didn't have control of the locker room. You know? So if he, if he is put into that scenario and that he does have control over that locker room, I think things honestly could go very different. Cause you know, when he first came onto the scene, ⁓ you know, he was, he was successful and then they just kind of, he just kind of fell off completely. So I don't know. Like.

It'd be exciting to watch. That's all I'm going to say. It'd be to me, it'd be entertaining. And I think it's, could be a high upside play. I don't know if you agree high upside, but also I think it's a

Kyle Blondin (20:11)
No, I think offensive

coordinator is different than the head coach. I don't think it would be a positive.

Austin From... You Know Where (20:14)
Okay. That's fair.

Yeah, that is fair.

Kyle Blondin (20:18)
All right, so we also have some big news and from the AFC Central we got AFC North, We have ⁓ Mike McCarthy in as Steelers head coach, which is, you know, had the Ravens and Steelers looking for head coaches and they both went opposite directions. The Steelers take a McCarthy veteran coach who last spent five seasons with the Cowboys. Previous to that Packers head coach won a Super Bowl with Aaron Rodgers.

Now with the Steelers, while the Ravens go with Jesse Minter, who was the defensive coordinator with the Rams, sorry, with the Chargers. So both organizations have really good track records on hiring coaches, but they just took opposite kind of direction. One, giving somebody a fresh chance, and then somebody getting a chance the third time around. Any thoughts on those two hires?

Austin From... You Know Where (21:13)
I guess my thoughts with the Steelers is, you know, is this going to improve the Steelers or hurt them compared to Mike Tomlin? You know, Mike Tomlin every single year, I know they always fell short, but he got them to the playoffs every single year. And it's like, is this guy coming in here with the pieces to make even a playoff appearance happen? I don't know. Like with Mike Tomlin, I, with Mike Tomlin, I always respected him as

Kyle Blondin (21:33)
Yeah,

Austin From... You Know Where (21:39)
I don't know how he's going to get them to the playoffs, but he's going to get them to the playoffs and year in year out every single year, Steelers are in the playoffs, right? Of course they're out week one, but I don't know if another coach can come in with these pieces and even get them here. I always thought Mike Tomlin, obviously in the Rathausberger years when he had Antonio Brown, Levihan Bell, Rathausberger, you know, obviously we were expecting potential Superbowl, but with the pieces that he's had in the last few years, I just don't understand why the expectations were always so high on him.

in the first place. I personally just look at this as a downgrade.

Kyle Blondin (22:13)
Yeah, and they had a quarterback, right? And even if they did bring Aaron Rodgers back, what is left? He's running on fumes, man, as a quarterback. So they're in trouble there. At least the Ravens job, Jesse Minter, he's got an established offense already. Lamar Jackson should be going nowhere unless something develops that we don't know about behind the scenes. Yeah, I think the Ravens look to be in a better position to kind of compete now. The Steelers look like they're maybe

Austin From... You Know Where (22:16)
Nothing, yeah.

Kyle Blondin (22:43)
Unless we see them make different moves prior to the draft almost fooling themselves that they can put this back together again and make a run at the playoffs I mean there was it should have been an eye-opener what Houston did to them and how it got how it got done they got dominated there they couldn't move the ball and You know Houston Got toyed with by the Patriots I mean so Houston's a playoff team Obviously showed they weren't a Super Bowl threat and you lost to that rather easily

So that should have been like a real big sign that what you're doing in your formula of success is not working and you need to put a different ingredient in there because ⁓ it's not stealer level of success that you're aiming for at this moment. But that is what it is. And that's the, coaching hires there. Robert Sala, 49ers defensive coordinator, former New York jet head coach goes to Tennessee. I do believe when you have a young quarterback in a franchise kind of looking for an identity.

I do like that hire. think Robert Salla did have some decent time in New York. He was caught up. He was in a fucked up organization, man. That organization's so messed up that when they had their hearts set on, you know, getting Aaron Rodgers, which I understood at the time, and you know, two plays and he gets injured and he's stuck with Zach Wilson as his quarterback. I mean, he really didn't have much to go on. So I think it's a good job for him to take because they do have.

Austin From... You Know Where (23:54)
Mm-hmm.

⁓ man, yeah.

Kyle Blondin (24:11)
Hopefully an up and coming second year Cam Ward, ready to take that next step, but that's gonna be important that he develops to where he needs to be to take that franchise to the next step. Any thoughts there? Like Tennessee make the right move?

Austin From... You Know Where (24:24)
Yeah. Was he,

was Sala not fired after that like small altercation with Rogers? Was there not some kind of like, like, ⁓ he, touched him or something and Rogers kind of like pushed him off and then like a week later he was fired or like a couple of days later he was fired. You know, I don't know if he necessarily got a fair chance. Like you said, was Zach Wilson, ⁓ you know, he just had that bad luck with Rogers getting injured. So, you know, I think, ⁓ it is good for an organization.

organization to take a chance on this guy. And the jets are cursed too. it doesn't, anything that he did there doesn't matter. You know what I mean? It's cursed.

Kyle Blondin (24:56)
Yeah, I do too. don't work. They're they're cursed. They're. Yeah, it's fucked up.

It's fucked up. They're they're the most messed up organization, maybe in sports. All right. So as we head into this Saturday, I just want to touch on a couple of stories that ahead of time ⁓ Friday night in Toronto, big night Mitch Marner for the Las Vegas Gold Knights spent nine years in a leaf uniform. Come back to Toronto.

Vegas to old nights get the job done, they win. know, soon as Marner touches the puck early, he gets booed. know, midway through the first period, they have kind of a, you know, like a, you know, they, hey, our stars come back, they show videos and stuff. Yeah, that's exactly what was looking for. And people are cheering, so I can't tell if you had the same people booing and cheering at the same time. But this Leaf team, to me, again, they played Marner in Vegas a week ago.

Austin From... You Know Where (25:36)
Tribute. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (25:51)
Week and a half ago, they're up by two goals, blow a lead. And they just can't get the job done and win one for their fucking fan base. Like, you comes back and this Gold Knights team seem to be more into the game than the Leafs did. Like, for Marner, instead of, you know, this Leaf team, you know, riding what the city wants. And that's at least give a little win when Mitch comes back. Nah, can't come through. This team has lack of heart. And, but it was just a moment in Toronto. I don't know if you had any thoughts on the Mitch Marner return.

Austin From... You Know Where (26:21)
Not too many thoughts. I don't follow hockey too much, but... I don't know. Leafs are always disappointing me. That's all I really have to say.

It's hard to keep up. I felt like last year was our chance.

Kyle Blondin (26:31)
And then UFC, yeah, UFC 324,

yeah, UFC 324, last night, is it 24? Yeah, whatever, Patty Pimlet does lose against Justin Gaethje. But if you did see the fight, I do think that Patty Pimlet's reputation has grown despite the loss. He stood in there with Justin Gaethje. Gaethje was hammering him. He gave a few shots. was a five round decision. Good fight.

⁓ So it was an interesting fight at say and it was very entertaining. I don't know if you watched it bet on it anything like that

Austin From... You Know Where (27:08)
No, sadly I was in bed.

Kyle Blondin (27:10)
that's exciting. There we go. So that was that. also non-sports related. you seen these, you know who Rampage Jackson is? UFC fighter? Former UFC fighter, he's old now. But he has this live stream. I don't if you've ever seen it. And his whole reputation is like, he flips out, he gets angry, right? And there's clips, and he's playing along. You know he's playing along, but.

Austin From... You Know Where (27:11)
Yeah

Yeah, UFC fighter, yes.

Yeah, rampage.

Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (27:40)
So he'll have a live stream and people will send in these photo, photoshop photos of him with like, of like with P Diddy, like rubbing baby oil on him and he'll look at it and flip out ⁓ or leave him some people will send him money, like donation, whatever donations or whatever. And they'll leave a voicemail and they say some bad stuff, right? And he, reacts to it. Like he's dressed up as a cowboy. So he's called like,

Austin From... You Know Where (27:46)
I've seen that, yeah.

Yeah.

Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (28:09)
You know, Brokeback Jackson. ⁓ Stuff like, it's bad, it's rude, but it's funny. When somebody flips out like that in rage, it's pretty funny. So just, if you like, and you know he's playing along. He knows, but I can't believe how, he's a jokester, but he plays the guy that gets rage pretty good.

Austin From... You Know Where (28:16)
Yeah.

Yeah.

Yeah, definitely.

He's a jokester.

Yeah, he does.

Kyle Blondin (28:36)
But there are people online that feel very comfortable either saying or creating memes that absolutely cross the line of like, I would never do this stuff. I could never do that stuff. And it's just wild what's out there on the internet,

Austin From... You Know Where (28:53)
Classic Rampage.

Kyle Blondin (28:53)
Let's do the

concrete fact before we get into the game. Let's go!

Austin From... You Know Where (28:57)
boy alright

give me a second here

Kyle Blondin (29:00)
Okay, let's go. Hold on, don't do it yet, don't do it just yet. Ready?

Austin From... You Know Where (29:04)
Alright, I'm ready. ⁓

Kyle Blondin (29:07)
Okay, go ahead.

Austin From... You Know Where (29:08)
All right. So the concrete fact this week for the concrete community is that concrete is widely used for roads because it's strong and durable. ⁓ but, ⁓ but sadly, obviously, ⁓ you know, it's a pro it's a problem. Sorry. I messed up the concrete fact. Let me restart. Basically the fun concrete fact is that the fun concrete fact is that right now, ⁓ people are trying to create self heating concrete.

so that we don't have to deal with salting roads for the snow and the ice. And you know, the idea is, ⁓ to save money on snow removal by implementing this new self-heating concrete. So there's your fun fact for the week. Sorry for butchering it. Concrete community, not as solid as I would have liked.

Kyle Blondin (29:54)
There you go. That's got you clapped and thanks to the concrete fact that wish this concrete you spoke of was available today in this type of weather so that it would reduce the amount of time spent to have to clear the roads and get the city moving again. So that's your concrete fact for the week. We'll be back next week with another concrete fact. And now we reached where we want to be and that is talking NFL championship Sunday, three o'clock Eastern standard time.

Austin From... You Know Where (29:55)
Thank you. Thanks for that.

Kyle Blondin (30:23)
We have our first matchup and that is the New England Patriots at the mile high to take on the Denver Broncos. The Denver Broncos, if you didn't know, ⁓ announced after their win against the Buffalo Bills last week that Bo Nix had broken his ankle on, I think the second to last play of the game and is out. Jarrett Stidham is in at quarterback. ⁓ Bo Nix apparently had surgery, will be 12 weeks on the shelf.

and obviously not enough time if they reach the Super Bowl. Really big news, like what was your reaction when you first heard that? Was it shock? Had it be a joke? ⁓ What were your original thoughts when you heard it?

Austin From... You Know Where (31:04)
I couldn't believe it. know, no one wants to see that no matter who you are. ⁓ I want to say, well, maybe if you're a new England fan, you were happy to see that, but, ⁓ just terrible for football. You know, it seems like the game is made, made lesser, but I am enticed just because it's more of a hurdle, more of a challenge if they actually do somehow overcome it. You know, I'm not going to be too turned off, because you know, look, this team, you know, they lost the quarterback, a young quarterback.

⁓ maybe a star quarterback, not a superstar. but you know, if I would've had any of these teams, lose their quarterback, it would have been the number one defense. So because they're still the number one defense in football, you know, any, believe anything could happen. They could even go into win the super bowl. I personally might believe they have the best value out of any of these teams to win the super bowl at 10 to one. ⁓ so, you know, are we go jumping right into the picks right now?

Kyle Blondin (31:59)
Well, let's talk about it. So the Broncos are three and a half point dogs. The Patriots are the favorites. I think this was up at four and a half and came down to three and a half. ⁓ Is that spread too low? I think that I look at it as probably a little better than the Patriots. I have a little more faith that they'll cover. What do you think?

Austin From... You Know Where (32:19)
I don't know. mean, you got to look at Drake May. Yeah, sure. He's Superbowl, ⁓ Superbowl contender or not Superbowl, sorry, MVP contender. ⁓ but I don't know. Last week he had four, what is it? Four or five turnovers, three or four interceptions. And now you're going up against the number one defense, you know? So, ⁓ I really, honestly, you might be surprised by my pick on this one. ⁓ but I think it's to be closer than you think. I think there's going to be a couple of turnovers in this one.

Kyle Blondin (32:34)
Yeah, not good. Not good. Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (32:49)
And yeah, you know what? I'm just going to go to make my pick. I don't know if who's going to win this game, but I'm confident that Broncos will keep it within three.

Kyle Blondin (33:01)
So you'll take the spread.

Austin From... You Know Where (33:02)
Yeah. I would have definitely loved to have that four and a half would have felt way better. ⁓ but yeah, I would take the three and a half. you know what? I'm not going to be surprised to me. This is a 50 50 game. Might be crazy to say.

Kyle Blondin (33:15)
So let's put our betting hats on right now. So would you hold off making that wager now and hope it goes to four and a half by kickoff? Or do feel that you should lock it in now?

Austin From... You Know Where (33:25)
yes, I would

like, am happy with the three and a half, but if you're hesitant, like you, you look, you don't feel you shared the same opinion with me, then maybe wait for the difference to be that point. You know what I mean?

Kyle Blondin (33:30)
Okay.

But

if it may never come, could go the other way.

Austin From... You Know Where (33:41)
Yeah, if it goes the other way, mean, I'm just saying you got to come to terms with it. But me personally, I will still say semi-confidently three and a half on the Broncos. ⁓ you know, this team still has the number one defense. think the reason why they're here is their defense. I don't think the reason they're here is Bo Nicks still got respect for the guy. I still think he's a good quarterback, not a great quarterback. ⁓ but I just think when you have that number one defense, I think anything could happen.

Kyle Blondin (34:06)
So if you were setting the line, you were the bookmaker and you were creating the line, what would you have made the spread? Two and a half, so that's why you feel very comfortable taking the Broncos with the points, or laying the points.

Austin From... You Know Where (34:11)
Two and a half.

Yeah, I mean, yes, you could argue. Yeah, that's just one point.

You could, you argue. Yeah, it's just one point, but to me, three and a half is a big number. You know, it's like, you get that field goal insurance basically. ⁓ and, ⁓ that's what I think, how I think it's going to play out.

Kyle Blondin (34:27)
Okay.

43 and a half is the over under at the moment. What kind of game do you think it's going to be a high scoring, ⁓ a real defensive battle? Like what do you think?

Austin From... You Know Where (34:42)
I think we get like a 20 to 17 game. So I think, so I think it's going to be pretty low scoring and I think we're going to get that under 43 and a half.

Kyle Blondin (34:45)
Ooh, okay.

Okay. All right. And, here's what I think is going to happen. It's going to play out one of two ways. I know it's easy to have multiple, you know, viewpoints on this. I do believe that the Patriots will cover the spread. I do believe that the Patriots will pull away at some point in this ball game. And if they were smart, that they have to think about always that the Bronco you want their offense to chase.

You want right now if you believe like you do that the Broncos are going to potentially stay within a field goal in this game. That's going to be like you talked about a 20 to 17 ball game where you know there's a lot of punts. There's a turnover here there. A lot of fourth downs being you know aggressive play calling on fourth downs that are not executed. Allowing the Broncos to play their type of offense where it's you know minimal risk.

Don't run the ball, short passes, no real deep balls that put the Broncos at risk of turning the ball over. However, if the Patriots jump out to that two score lead, even late in the first half, it will take the Broncos out of their comfort zone. And that's where I think that faced with a fourth and two in field goal range, if you're already up by seven, if you're the Patriots, you hit that field goal.

Austin From... You Know Where (36:06)
Hmm.

Kyle Blondin (36:20)
There's no need to try and yes, that the analytics tell you, you have to look at what's at the other side of the field. And that is an offense that you don't believe can move the ball. So I gotta believe Mike Freybal's thinking that way. The Patriots get the job done. I think that they probably win 23-14, something like that. I'll stick, I'm gonna say the over, fuck it. I'm gonna change my score there. I'm gonna say the Patriots win 31-13. Okay?

Austin From... You Know Where (36:20)
yeah.

my god, no undies.

Kyle Blondin (36:50)
No undies for me. Fuck that. We're going commando.

Austin From... You Know Where (36:52)
All right, so I got a,

even though you think they're going to crush, do you think minus 114 for Drake May to throw an interception is a good bet?

Kyle Blondin (37:03)
That's not bad. mean, let me just, because I have a list, I can't remember if have the list, that on the list or not, of different props like we did last week.

Austin From... You Know Where (37:10)
Yeah. Best defense in football in Denver. ⁓ you know, pressures on probably the most pressure Drake may has ever faced in his career coming off a four interception game. ⁓ I think he throws at least one interception here.

Kyle Blondin (37:25)
Yeah, it wasn't even, ⁓ it's funny you say that because I think we were watching the Patriots Houston Texans last week and he threw an INT that you wouldn't think about it because it was at the end of the half and he threw it, he jacked one up and it was picked off. I mean that, and that could happen, right? And that's not part of what you think of when you're looking at this line that that's obviously a throw away kind of play that the result is an interception. So these things can happen and with this Broncos D,

Austin From... You Know Where (37:40)
Yeah, that could happen. Yeah.

Mm-hmm.

Kyle Blondin (37:54)
This tip passes that always happen where receiver puts his hand up and the ball's up in the air. Absolutely, there's absolutely, there's no reason why Drake May has shown he can turn the ball over with the best of them.

Austin From... You Know Where (38:05)
All right, so let's lock that in as prop of the week. Let's go. All right, that's my prop of the week. But you approve, right?

Kyle Blondin (38:08)
Yeah, I don't, I'm not saying that. You are.

Okay, but let's look at this. I'm gonna go down a few other props.

I get it, I get it. ⁓ Drake May over 223 and a half passing yards, over or no?

Austin From... You Know Where (38:27)
No.

Kyle Blondin (38:28)
Bullshit. I'm gonna say yes. Ugh, that's disgusting. Stedham, over 208.5 passing yards.

Austin From... You Know Where (38:31)
He hits 180 today.

Kyle Blondin (38:38)
Thunder?

Austin From... You Know Where (38:39)
Under. Yeah, sorry. I'll sit up.

Kyle Blondin (38:40)
I'm going to say under as well. Okay, here's a good one. Drake made a score of touchdown. Plus 300.

Austin From... You Know Where (38:49)
rushing? No, I think it's, I think it's going to be low scoring, so I'm not going to bet it. No.

Kyle Blondin (38:50)
He can be. Yeah, has to be rushing. Yeah.

No? So you're say yay.

I'm gonna say yay. Jared Stidham, okay, this is a good, I'm trying to figure out how this will look. So Jared Stidham, rushing yards over 14 and a half.

Austin From... You Know Where (39:09)
You know what? I like that one. are the odds on it?

Kyle Blondin (39:12)
Think about how the game is going to play out. Is he going to run?

Minus 112.

Austin From... You Know Where (39:19)
Yeah, I'll take that one. I like that.

Kyle Blondin (39:20)
Yeah, I like it too. Drake May, oh okay, here's an interesting one. For plus 125, will Drake May have 10 plus rushing yards in each half? So will he have 10 or more in the first half? 10 or more in the second half for plus 125.

Austin From... You Know Where (39:36)
I'll stay away from that one. think he, I like, if you told me over 20 yards, I'd like that more than having both halves. It just seems like too, ⁓ I don't know about random factor. It's not a bad bet, but, ⁓ I'm to stay away. Interesting to say the least.

Kyle Blondin (39:38)
Boooo!

Yeah.

Okay, and now this one is,

this is one of the game specials that it's not gonna happen, but would you throw a few dollars on it as a Hail Mary, okay? And that is, Courtney Sutton and Stefan Diggs to combine for 300 yards receiving. What if I said it was plus 25,000?

Austin From... You Know Where (40:11)
No.

What? Uh, yeah. Okay. A couple of bucks at that. That would obviously be the opposite of how I thought the game would go, but, I could see that happening if you're giving me those odds. Jeez. What's it? Sorry. What is that? 25 to one.

Kyle Blondin (40:26)
⁓ the odds make...

No, 25,000.

So that'd like times it by 250. All right. All right, and you like the Drake Mate INT and that is that. But you believe who is gonna be playing in the Super Bowl. We talked about keeping the game close, but you have to know, you have to say who is expected to be two Sundays from now.

Austin From... You Know Where (40:34)
Anything could happen.

Okay. So you want both teams? ⁓ who? Okay. I think for some reason, weird feeling. think the Broncos are going to get the job done today. I know. I think it's, and that's not what I want to see. I think, ⁓ the Patriots will be a lot more entertaining in the super bowl, but I just have a bad feeling at home. Number one defense in the league. Drake may come off the worst game maybe of his career. ⁓ I think the Broncos get done.

Kyle Blondin (40:52)
No, no, I just want this game, this game.

⁓ my god!

Yeah.

You think the goddamn Broncos are gonna win this game? What's the money line right now? Do you have that in front of you? Straight up win for the Broncos? And are you gonna be putting money on the straight up win?

Austin From... You Know Where (41:21)
Yeah. I'm not confident, but...

straight up ⁓

no I'm not that ballsy with it I don't think but it's a plus 168

Kyle Blondin (41:36)
What is it?

I don't even think that's enough. that should be like 200. Like, you know what mean? My god. Okay.

Austin From... You Know Where (41:40)
No, I, yeah, if it was, if it was 200, I'd take it, but that's where, honestly, I

understand why that line is there. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (41:49)
Okay.

Alright, any other thoughts on this game? Anything to do with these two teams? ⁓ Anything.

Austin From... You Know Where (41:59)
I know. think I covered all my thoughts and ⁓ you know, I thought maybe Drake Man Reception was one of the best props that I've seen. So I think that's it.

Kyle Blondin (42:09)
think we gotta check the weather. Weather forecast. That's gonna be NFL weather forecast. Snow forecast for the Broncos and Patriots. yep, some snow. A winter storm is making its way across the majority of the United States on Sunday, Saturday, January, Saturday, Sunday, January 25th. And that makes football viewers wonder about NFL weather. Let me just get to the goddamn.

Austin From... You Know Where (42:18)
That helps my low scoring prediction doesn't help me or doesn't hurt me.

Kyle Blondin (42:36)
Forecast here according to the research from Weather Channel at the National server blah. Denver is in line to get snow some snow on Sunday But mainly after the Broncos and Patriots game, so probably won't be impacting Seattle is a different story. We're get one miles a lead into this While the city is known for its intense rain for the Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams game It's looking like a much nicer forecast off their right Yeah, yes ⁓

It says snow is coming, but I don't know how much snow is gonna impact the game for, and rain, doesn't look like it's gonna happen, so, I don't know. We'll see, now we get to the heavyweight matchup in the NFC West. Your boy, Sam Darnold, takes on and hosts Los Angeles Rams and Pukka Nakua. And potential MVP duel here, where you have Matthew Stafford leading the charge. ⁓

Austin From... You Know Where (43:21)
Let's go!

Kyle Blondin (43:34)
Keep mind he didn't look great in the fourth quarter against the Bears. He was kind of shut down like a lot in the second half. But he's Matthew Stafford. He's got a rocket of an arm. The line here is the Rams road team. Sorry, the Seahawks are two and a half point favorites. And the over under is a lofty 45 and a half. And we've seen this game play out a few weeks back on the Thursday nighter where the Seahawks got the victory.

but it wasn't like they dominated and they kind of maybe fell into a victory ⁓ with the, you know, the two point conversion that nobody even thought of. It turned into a significant play in the game. And then going for it for the two point conversion at the end of the ball game to win it. And this is after the Rams had already scored a touchdown. So the Rams could have won that game, probably should have won that game. They were up in that game and they can play in Seattle.

Probably better than obviously the 49ers did. So what's your initial take here? What do you like? I know you like Seahawks, but.

Austin From... You Know Where (44:40)
So,

so I just want to say I've heard this game called the Super Bowl before the Super Bowl. What do you agree? Yeah. Like this, like this, this game, like, ⁓ you know, despite our potential, you know, like, there could be a backup quarterback in the Super Bowl. You know, I gotta say LA versus Seattle in this spot, hands down the best football game of the year. Right? This is the most, obviously the most anticipated game of the year. This is, the two best teams in football. would say, I think you'd say this.

Kyle Blondin (44:45)
Yeah, yeah, it's hard not to say that.

Austin From... You Know Where (45:09)
These are the two best teams in football easily this year. and you know, obviously, you know, I've rocked with Sam Darnold this long. I've rocked with the Flay O fish combo. I've gone in there on the, what is it Friday? I've gone in there Friday. I've ordered the double Patty and I'm not changing up the routine now. All right. So give me, give me Sam Darnold. Yeah. And you know what? I think this could be a hell of a game. I think easily 50 points. so obviously give me the over here. ⁓

Kyle Blondin (45:22)
Mm-hmm.

Wow, that's how much you believe in Sam Darnold.

Ooh.

Austin From... You Know Where (45:39)
You know, I, I don't know. I, know, Sam Darnold is no joke. It just feels like Seattle's year. You know, I believe Sam Darnold is that guy. I believe he's the guy that's not sexy, but he's always going to get the job done. ⁓ ex, ⁓ expect T or sorry, overachieve on the expectations. And I'm going with Seattle all day.

Kyle Blondin (46:00)
So a non sexy Flay of Fish quarterback and Sam Darnold is gonna get the job done. Extra male, okay. Well, I'm gonna take, at least on the outcome, ⁓ is gonna be different in my opinion. I think the Rams get the job done. I think they are the better team, that's my opinion. ⁓ Even though the Seattle Seahawks defense is lights out and has been absolute dominant, but they didn't slow down the Rams.

Austin From... You Know Where (46:04)
Extra male. Extra male. That's JSN.

Kyle Blondin (46:29)
They didn't slow down the Rams on that Thursday nighter. And I see it as the Rams got their scare against Chicago. They got that hurdle. They overcame that hurdle and will be in the Super Bowl taking on the Patriots. That's my opinion. That's what it will be like. ⁓ The third such matchup, you know, in the last 20 years, you know who Tom Brady won his first Super Bowl against.

Austin From... You Know Where (46:55)
⁓ Tom Brady.

Kyle Blondin (46:58)
Come on, it's a trick question.

Austin From... You Know Where (47:00)
Who he won his first Super Bowl?

Kyle Blondin (47:01)
Well, who would he

play with?

Austin From... You Know Where (47:02)
⁓ i'm confused i don't know tom brady ⁓ patriots

Kyle Blondin (47:03)
Tom Brady, who did he play with?

Right, and who am I thinking is gonna meet up in the Super Bowl this year? Patriots and not the Seahawks. Right, so he beat the St. Louis Rams as the first for Super Bowl.

Austin From... You Know Where (47:13)
Sorry, ⁓ Los Angeles. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (47:19)
See you kids got out there, you do your history. And look at the Tom Brady's seven Super Bowl rings. Two of them which came against the Rams. One in St. Louis Rams and one against the Los Angeles Rams. And that was before the Rams wound up winning a Super Bowl. So I like the Rams to come through in this game. I think Matthew Stafford will be the difference. I think the moment will be too big for your Flay of Fish ⁓ quarterback there. So bland, so extra male, whatever. It's gonna be splatter.

when it comes to looking at Sam Darnall, he's gonna throw a key interception. He's gonna throw a key pass. It's just, you shouldn't let the ball go. He's gonna make a mistake and multiple mistakes. It's gonna fuck them over. I feel that Sam Darnall is gonna be the reason why they lose this game. that's, I'm so opposite. That Filet-O-Fish Friday has gotta go, right? And so it's not gonna happen for Seattle.

Austin From... You Know Where (47:48)
Hahaha!

Wow. How dare you?

Kyle Blondin (48:17)
They've had a great season, dominating fashion. They probably still don't get respect. I gotta believe that the betting community still does not respect the Seahawks. So that's my take. I know you have an opposite take, but. ⁓

Austin From... You Know Where (48:30)
Yeah, you know, I will

say, I feel like the Seahawks have been given enough respect here. Just the fact that they're the favorites, you know, I, wouldn't have been surprised if the line makers honestly made Los Angeles Rams the, the favorite. So I, I feel like they've been given their respect, even though they're only two and a half points. I feel like that's enough for.

Kyle Blondin (48:50)
Alright, I'm gonna go down with some props here. You tell me what your thoughts are on these props. Just drop my pen one second. Alright, first prop, Sam Darnold, your Flarefish, will he pass for over 233 and a half yards, today.

Austin From... You Know Where (48:58)
Yeah, let's hear them.

Easily.

Kyle Blondin (49:09)
easily not even a thought on that he's gonna do it

Austin From... You Know Where (49:13)
J-JSN's

gonna have half of those alone.

Kyle Blondin (49:17)
We'll get to him. I'll agree with you. I think he's gonna have a lot of yards because he's gonna be chasing the Rams.

Austin From... You Know Where (49:22)
Hey, thought I

already said extra mayo.

Kyle Blondin (49:24)
Oh, yeah, you did.

Matthew Stafford, over 256 and a half yards passing.

Austin From... You Know Where (49:31)
You know, I think he hits that too. I think we got an absolute, I think we got one of those games where it's just touchdown after touchdown.

Kyle Blondin (49:33)
Okay, so you like the over, I think you like a lot of passing yards.

Honestly, I needed that to be the case with the Bears and Rams. I had a couple parlayes where I needed them just to hit 40 points, and they couldn't hit 40 fucking points. And there was also ⁓ a play, you know, before the Rams hit their field goal, they were throwing it into the end zone. And if the guy just came down with it, Parkinson, out of one, jackass. Anyway.

Austin From... You Know Where (49:48)
Yeah. my god.

Like I know Seattle has a great defense, but I just

think with ⁓ Pukinakua and Devontae Adams, know, that kind of gets around any defense. And I feel like it's going to come down to Sam Darnold having a good performance and, really sticking it to the Vikings with their decision that they made. But, you know, I think there's a great performance on both sides. Like I said, I think these are the two best teams in football. So, you know, I think we're going to see, I think we're going to see like just elite level play here ⁓ more, more on the offense.

Kyle Blondin (50:23)
Well, I think...

Austin From... You Know Where (50:30)
⁓ but we know we'll see what goes down

Kyle Blondin (50:32)
So Matthew Stafford, minus 122 to pass for two or more touchdowns.

Austin From... You Know Where (50:40)
Sorry,

snapper to throw two touchdowns? yeah, two touchdowns easily.

Kyle Blondin (50:42)
Yes, passing touchdowns.

Yeah, I think so. Pukka Nakua over 91 and a half receiving yards.

Austin From... You Know Where (50:47)
easily.

to Vancouver easily.

Kyle Blondin (50:53)
Man, we agree, think we're agreeing this is all over now.

Austin From... You Know Where (50:54)
maybe i i

i could see the body atoms getting a little bit less but getting a touchdown

Kyle Blondin (51:00)
Injigba 92 and a half yards.

Austin From... You Know Where (51:02)
Over, I think he hit breaks 100 today.

Kyle Blondin (51:05)
Again, I'm go with this tip again. If he is light in the first half, hammer the over on his line. He finds a way to get his yards. And sometimes he is completely shut out in the first half, and he is a monster in the second half. So keep that as a value play in your back pocket when the halftime whistle goes and what his current performance is in the game, you might find some value there. I'll also say over. And Kyren Williams running back for the Rams.

rushing and receiving over 69 and a half yards now he had 70 rushing yards in that Thursday nighter against the Seahawks 15 receiving yards for a total of 85 total and he is total yards 69 and a half I gotta think he's gonna be a factor here today So I'm gonna say the over. What do you think?

Austin From... You Know Where (51:50)
mm-hmm yeah

sorry can you repeat that player's name one one time ⁓ William yeah ⁓ I think

Kyle Blondin (51:55)
Tyron Williams running back for the Rams. Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (51:59)
I think that the Los Angeles Rams today find their success within the wide receiver core. And I think, you know, even though I think he could have a touchdown cause they're going to be in the red zone a lot, I could see him being held to like 50 50 ish yards. So I'm going to stay away from that. I don't know, hate it or anything. I just think that it's probably accurate to where it should be and not exciting me.

Kyle Blondin (52:18)
You're a hater.

Okay, and then some, a couple where I felt interesting game specials, and you tell me if they're value or not. Each starting quarter, okay, this is for all, both two games, all four quarterbacks, okay? Each starting quarterback to throw one interception today. So all four quarterbacks will have an interception plus 600.

Austin From... You Know Where (52:43)
That's a, with those odds, I'll take that. I like that. That's on FanDuel.

Kyle Blondin (52:46)
Yeah, I think so too.

It's all fan to under games like game specials that are. Yep. Each team. Yep.

Austin From... You Know Where (52:51)
Six to one. Yeah. I could see it happening, especially, I mean, I'm more confident

in the first game. ⁓ you know, listen, we have talked about Matthew Stafford and how he's gone like four or five straight games without throwing an interception. But obviously the Seattle Seahawks defense is no joke. And also, you know, Stafford was red hot. I think he's still hot. He's still that hot guy, but one interception. Yeah.

Kyle Blondin (53:15)
Well, he threw an interception against Carolina, as predicted by this guy.

Austin From... You Know Where (53:21)
I think at those odds you take it because I think they should be closer to 3 to 1 or 4 to 1 so I think you take those that increased odds.

Kyle Blondin (53:28)
All right, and then each team, all four teams, to have at least one field goal and one touchdown. Plus 110.

Austin From... You Know Where (53:37)
Yeah, I like that. I liked the over on both games, so I have to agree.

Kyle Blondin (53:40)
Okay, I like it too.

Got it. Alright, well. So our Super Bowl matchups differ here. I think there's gonna be a Rams Patriots Super Bowl. You're a complete opposite, thinking Seahawks Broncos, which is the blandest Super Bowl I could think of. ⁓ And really, I'm not gonna be jacked to wait two weeks for that fucking matchup. That'd be horrible. ⁓ Yeah, plan is that we're gonna do the working dog again for...

Austin From... You Know Where (53:49)
Yeah

Yeah

Kyle Blondin (54:08)
The Sunday, I don't know if Austin and Meajacks can make it down for that. Get some squares going, get some live betting going, and you know, really have a good time and close out the football season. But are you ready for the season to be over or are you more, you're itching for a full slate Sunday? Or do you need some time off from football?

Austin From... You Know Where (54:31)
you know, I'm

never, I'm never looking forward to it be over. You know, it's always a bit of a sad time. know, football always feels too short, but I think that's one of the things that makes it great. You know, it's, ⁓ it's once a week, you know, in baseball, we got 162 games in football. got what 18, 18 games, 17. Right, right, right. So, that, you know, it's, it's short-lived. It's not, to me, it's not enough. So it's always a sad time, but obviously.

Kyle Blondin (54:47)
17, one week off for each team. Yeah.

Austin From... You Know Where (54:59)
Excited for next year as well. As soon as it's done, you just wait for next year and that's all you can do.

Kyle Blondin (55:05)
Yeah. And I kind of, think I need a break to kind of level set and refocus what the strategy is going into next year. ⁓ every year you come in and start batting and thinking you're going to bank roll, you're going to run your bank roll, ⁓ like, you know, efficiently emotions, not going to be brought into it. You're not going to chase a game while it's on TV or playing at the bar, but you do, you do. Right. and.

Those are mistakes that I continuously make. Got to rethink about going into next year and making it more of a sharp mindset when navigating through an 18 week season. So I'm ready for the break. We'll discuss what the podcast will look like. Baseball will be on tap not too long and maybe pop in a show that looks forward to that. So Austin from Ajax will be our baseball guy, both from a betting standpoint.

Also a fantasy baseball I think is very important because Austin from Ajax is usually in. How many baseball fantasy leagues do you normally get into?

Austin From... You Know Where (56:10)
You know what? I'm only, the most I've ever been on is three in a single year and usually I'm on two fantasy baseball leagues. You know, there's so much interest because obviously as you listeners know, we're from Toronto here and the Blue Jays just made it to the World Series, lost in seven games. But you know, that has a lot more people into baseball and I wouldn't be excited if I'm in maybe one more league this year because of that, who knows? Just a possibility.

Kyle Blondin (56:19)
Right.

Austin From... You Know Where (56:40)
⁓ but yeah, I'm definitely very excited for football or baseball. Sorry. think that's one of the only reasons I'm not too upset about football because this is probably one of the most excited times I've ever or most excited I've ever been for baseball and especially coming, ⁓ to the podcast and getting more into it and telling you guys what I've learned and all that kind of stuff. So, ⁓ good things on the horizon.

Kyle Blondin (57:02)
Well,

we'll need a lot of insight because the waiver wire is a big, big ⁓ factor when it comes to running a fantasy team. And you know that you run the waiver wire in a strategic way to put yourself in the best position to win. ⁓ Outside of baseball, I want to focus on golf is so fucking good to bet on. It's so fun to bet on. we have, you know, may not be a week in a week out kind of look at ⁓ betting, but April we have the masters.

Austin From... You Know Where (57:12)
yeah.

Kyle Blondin (57:31)
as the first major of the year, which absolutely exciting. We get some pools going there. But if you don't bet golf, you're missing out. It is so goddamn fun, especially when something kicks off on a Thursday and you have a varied amount of different wagers you can put on. It doesn't have to be an outright winner. It could be head on, it could be a group of three, could be top 15, could be a number of birdies. It's so fun to really look at golf.

and very interesting to say the least. And then you got college basketballs. We lead up to March Madness, which is crazy. We're gonna have the NFL draft in the April, May timeline there. It's gonna be in Green Bay and there's betting odds on that. Now is a good time to jump on some of those betting odds. Obviously with Mendoza being the projected number one overall pick, but that may change and evolve as we get closer to the draft.

What are the sports NHL happening? We'll probably get a show going about the NHL Obviously our Canadian viewers. I would love to do a soccer show in some way somehow ⁓ But really a lot of things up in the air for the overrated experience as the football season winds down We're gonna obviously focus our attention on the Super Bowl be very meticulous because props are absolutely huge Maybe talk about some of the other items you can do to make your Super Bowl party entertaining such as you know squares and

all sorts of things you can do at your party and all that fun stuff. So the Overrated Experience has given you our wisdom for NFL Championship Sunday. We've provided you a concrete fact and we'll continue to do that. Who knows what's on the horizon, but you'll need to follow us at Overrated EXPER2 on X Overrated EXPER2. it happen. And again, follow us on the video version of this pod, the VOD.

on YouTube at Overrated Experience. You get to see our faces and download and show your friends. Anything else, Austin Majax, to spit out before we go.

Austin From... You Know Where (59:33)
Nope, I think we've covered everything.

Kyle Blondin (59:35)
All right, so the pleasure's all been yours. The overrated experience is over and out.

Austin From... You Know Where (59:40)
Awesome for Mayjacks, out.

Kyle Blondin (59:43)
Alright, goodbye everybody.


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